Anonymous
Anonymous asked in Politics & GovernmentElections · 1 month ago

Is November 4th 2020 the  new 12 April 1861?

4 Answers

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  • Tmess2
    Lv 7
    1 month ago

    I don't think so.  

    First, the 1860 election was all about one issue that had divided the country for decades -- slavery.  There is no similar issue that is as significant today.

    Second, there were stark divisions between the states on that issue.  In the states that took up arms against the government, there was no representation of the abolitionist position in state government.   That fact was significant to the ability of secessionists to succeed in having those states act to resist the election results.  Today, even in the most Republican and most Democratic state, there is still substantial representation by the other party in the state legislature.  That means that anything more organized than using state law to exploit loophole in federal law is highly unlikely.  

    Third, the U.S. military is much bigger today than it was in 1860 as is law enforcement.  Given that you are unlikely to have state governments taking up arms against the government, you are -- at most -- looking at isolated pockets of armed insurrection which should not take long to defeat.  

    In short, you might have protests aimed at disrupting the count in some areas, but you are not going to have an attack by a well-armed resistance on a major U.S. military facility.  And even, if you did, you are not going to have one-third of the state governments voting to use state military forces against the federal government.  

  • 1 month ago

    Regardless of how many days or weeks until all the counting is completed, if Trump wins antifa and BLM.org will be more restless than they've been since May 31! The civilian army funded by the ACA/Obama legislation still has a lot of assets; and, that army knows how to deploy them. (As of last week the videos from 12 years ago were still available online)

  • Erik
    Lv 7
    1 month ago

    No, that's goofy.  Besides, it's going to be different this year.  There are so many mail-in ballots that they're not going to declare a winner until a few days after, at the earliest.

  • 1 month ago

    we'll find out then

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